Horace Dediu
Foremost Mobile Industry Analyst & Visionary on Digital Business Disruption; Founder & Author of Market Intelligence Site Asymco.com
MEET HORACE DEDIU
The rapidly changing world of technology requires constant adaptation from all of us – in business and in life. The possibilities, believes Horace Dediu, are limitless.
A visionary, Dediu is one of the world’s most respected business analysts and renowned experts on complex data analysis. He is the founder and author of the market intelligence site Asymco.com, and also works as an independent analyst and advisor to telecom incumbents and entrants on mobile platform strategy. An authority on and enthusiast of Apple’s business, Dediu also spent more than eight years analyzing mobile software, platforms and markets at Nokia.
Declared “King of Apple Analysts” by Fortune magazine, Dediu is a relied upon resource for all major media, including Bloomberg, Financial Times, Economist and Forbes among others, and has more than 350,000 citations to his name. Asymco.com, followed by tens of thousands of mobile industry observers, has set the standard for public, open access to deep industry analysis. “The Critical Path,” hosted by Dediu, is one of the most popular technology and business strategy podcasts. It has changed how commentary is conducted on matters of technology strategy, shunning sensation while seeking causality. Influential on social media, Dediu also established the conferences Asymconf and IBM-sponsored workshop Airshow to bring audiences together in debate using the case method.
Dediu draws from 25 years of research, analysis and publishing, and engages every audience – online and on stage, and across professions, industries and organizations. Through engagements and performances in front of companies as diverse as IKEA, IBM, Apple, Facebook, Fidelity Investments, Motorola and Riot Games, he enthralls audiences with a unique presentation technique, using custom-built tools that must be seen to be fully understood.
A former student and mentee of Clayton Christensen, Dediu is a Senior Fellow at The Clayton Christensen Institute for Disruptive Innovation where he devotes time to teaching and research on the impact of technology on the disruption of sectors such as banking, automotive and energy, and the impact of disruption on technology sectors such as mobile, computing and wearables. Dediu is also a member of The Forum for Growth and Innovation at Harvard Business School.
Dediu has a MBA from Harvard Business School and a MS Electrical Engineering from Tufts University.
A visionary, Dediu is one of the world’s most respected business analysts and renowned experts on complex data analysis. He is the founder and author of the market intelligence site Asymco.com, and also works as an independent analyst and advisor to telecom incumbents and entrants on mobile platform strategy. An authority on and enthusiast of Apple’s business, Dediu also spent more than eight years analyzing mobile software, platforms and markets at Nokia.
Declared “King of Apple Analysts” by Fortune magazine, Dediu is a relied upon resource for all major media, including Bloomberg, Financial Times, Economist and Forbes among others, and has more than 350,000 citations to his name. Asymco.com, followed by tens of thousands of mobile industry observers, has set the standard for public, open access to deep industry analysis. “The Critical Path,” hosted by Dediu, is one of the most popular technology and business strategy podcasts. It has changed how commentary is conducted on matters of technology strategy, shunning sensation while seeking causality. Influential on social media, Dediu also established the conferences Asymconf and IBM-sponsored workshop Airshow to bring audiences together in debate using the case method.
Dediu draws from 25 years of research, analysis and publishing, and engages every audience – online and on stage, and across professions, industries and organizations. Through engagements and performances in front of companies as diverse as IKEA, IBM, Apple, Facebook, Fidelity Investments, Motorola and Riot Games, he enthralls audiences with a unique presentation technique, using custom-built tools that must be seen to be fully understood.
A former student and mentee of Clayton Christensen, Dediu is a Senior Fellow at The Clayton Christensen Institute for Disruptive Innovation where he devotes time to teaching and research on the impact of technology on the disruption of sectors such as banking, automotive and energy, and the impact of disruption on technology sectors such as mobile, computing and wearables. Dediu is also a member of The Forum for Growth and Innovation at Harvard Business School.
Dediu has a MBA from Harvard Business School and a MS Electrical Engineering from Tufts University.
The Emergence of Micromobility: How to Adapt to the Coming Disruption
While the world seems increasingly focused on electric and self-driving cars we are ignoring a more important and potentially disruptive revolution: micromobility. According to Horace Dediu, electric cars represent a technological innovation but not a true disruption to transportation, as they are still just that: cars. Rather, we should be looking more closely at lightweight vehicles like bicycles and scooters, now more widely and conveniently available on-demand thanks to the phenomenon of the platform-powered “sharing economy.” According to Dediu, on-demand vehicles more suited to the dimensions of the individual and their urban environment will be the true source of lifestyle and business model transformation in the mobility industry. Micromobility will also more effectively address problems of congestion, pollution and climate change than would a transition to electric or autonomous cars. In this presentation, Dediu shows organizations how the history of transportation offers a guide to how infrastructure will rapidly re-focus toward enabling micromobility once more people inevitably see the value in on-demand personal vehicles. These developments will, in turn, require major business model changes for companies across industries, as well as present opportunities for economic growth.
Survival, Prosperity and the Future of Technology
Technology has long impacted life and business. More recently, new technology paradigms affect what businesses do, not just how they do it. Looking back, we see a pattern of accelerating change – but how long can it last? And what does it mean for institutions unable to adapt? To answer these questions, Horace Dediu navigates a compelling documentary review of a century of technological change, and explores its effect on our lives, families, jobs and institutions.
What’s Next? The Future of Mobile in Business
For 30 years, IT and personal and mobile computing have evolved to encompass and extend (and disrupt) the industries it touched – from telecommunications to entertainment, and now apparel. Will it continue to disrupt or will Moore’s Law stop its ascent? Horace Dediu discusses innovation and the future of mobile, and explores what the post-mobile world will look like as Apple, Google and others are shaping the mobile experience of the future. Other highlights from the conversation include:
The Innovator’s Stopwatch
Here’s the problem according to Horace Dediu: technologies enable new markets to be created and new industries – populated by competing firms – to emerge. As the adoption of technology increases (or diffuses into a market), the rate at which it happens is predictable. However, which firms benefit is usually not. Disruption theory provides insight into how and why this happens. It’s a giant breakthrough, but not enough to pin down the winners. Missing is the “when” – when will an industry undergo a turnover in leadership? Dediu offers a method for measuring the rate of change in industry leadership. The Innovator’s Stopwatch is a framework for identifying the stages of technology adoptions and classifying the type of industry architecture (interdependency or modularity), capital allocation (enabling, sustaining or efficiency), entrant strategy (new-market or low-end) and the management strategies that go along with these stages. The framework moves the discussion from “if” disruption happens to “when” and “where.”
While the world seems increasingly focused on electric and self-driving cars we are ignoring a more important and potentially disruptive revolution: micromobility. According to Horace Dediu, electric cars represent a technological innovation but not a true disruption to transportation, as they are still just that: cars. Rather, we should be looking more closely at lightweight vehicles like bicycles and scooters, now more widely and conveniently available on-demand thanks to the phenomenon of the platform-powered “sharing economy.” According to Dediu, on-demand vehicles more suited to the dimensions of the individual and their urban environment will be the true source of lifestyle and business model transformation in the mobility industry. Micromobility will also more effectively address problems of congestion, pollution and climate change than would a transition to electric or autonomous cars. In this presentation, Dediu shows organizations how the history of transportation offers a guide to how infrastructure will rapidly re-focus toward enabling micromobility once more people inevitably see the value in on-demand personal vehicles. These developments will, in turn, require major business model changes for companies across industries, as well as present opportunities for economic growth.
Survival, Prosperity and the Future of Technology
Technology has long impacted life and business. More recently, new technology paradigms affect what businesses do, not just how they do it. Looking back, we see a pattern of accelerating change – but how long can it last? And what does it mean for institutions unable to adapt? To answer these questions, Horace Dediu navigates a compelling documentary review of a century of technological change, and explores its effect on our lives, families, jobs and institutions.
What’s Next? The Future of Mobile in Business
For 30 years, IT and personal and mobile computing have evolved to encompass and extend (and disrupt) the industries it touched – from telecommunications to entertainment, and now apparel. Will it continue to disrupt or will Moore’s Law stop its ascent? Horace Dediu discusses innovation and the future of mobile, and explores what the post-mobile world will look like as Apple, Google and others are shaping the mobile experience of the future. Other highlights from the conversation include:
- Understanding the factors that drive adoption of disruptive innovations
- Recognizing the next disruption from patterns of previous ones
- How to resize scope of opportunity when the basis of competition changes
- Other “white spaces” Horace sees that are ripe for disruptive innovation, including education industry and transportation
The Innovator’s Stopwatch
Here’s the problem according to Horace Dediu: technologies enable new markets to be created and new industries – populated by competing firms – to emerge. As the adoption of technology increases (or diffuses into a market), the rate at which it happens is predictable. However, which firms benefit is usually not. Disruption theory provides insight into how and why this happens. It’s a giant breakthrough, but not enough to pin down the winners. Missing is the “when” – when will an industry undergo a turnover in leadership? Dediu offers a method for measuring the rate of change in industry leadership. The Innovator’s Stopwatch is a framework for identifying the stages of technology adoptions and classifying the type of industry architecture (interdependency or modularity), capital allocation (enabling, sustaining or efficiency), entrant strategy (new-market or low-end) and the management strategies that go along with these stages. The framework moves the discussion from “if” disruption happens to “when” and “where.”
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